Impacts of climate change on agro-ecological landscapes in the coastal area of the thai binh province (Vietnam) using the delphi technique

http://repository.vnu.edu.vn/handle/VNU_123/34049



This paper aims to facilitate the joint assessment of issues related to the agricultural systems, i.e. agriculture, aquaculture and climate change (CC) response strategies, in the coastal districts with a panel of stakeholders; and to evaluate the level of agreement on the topics under consideration and potentially identify the most promising approaches to assessing CC affecting agricultural systems in the area and identify relevant and adequate response strategies. Design/methodology/approach–Stakeholder Delphi technique–its assessment is an interactive method of qualitative research used to facilitate the interactive participation of varied and conceivably hierarchical and antagonistic stakeholder groups. Findings–The most important result for the province is that the impact of climate change on agro-ecological landscapes (poverty and near river areas) is the duration of cold weather, more frequent and extreme. Moreover, Kendall’sWtest gave a score of 0.547, which indicates a “strong” stakeholder agreement and the “confidence in ranks” being “high” in Thai Binh (Vietnam). Originality/value–The scientific results in this study are intended to serve as relevant knowledge-inputs and direct contributions to capacity-building for the local partners (stakeholders and local authorities). These local partners are engaged in policy-making and effective planning and implementation of climate response measures in the districts in the province of Thai Binh.


 

Title:

Impacts of climate change on agro-ecological landscapes in the coastal area of the thai binh province (Vietnam) using the delphi technique
Authors: Le, Trinh Hai
Nguyen, An Thinh
Tran, Anh Tuan
Dao, Dinh Cham
Luu, The Anh
Hoang Luu, Thu Thuy
Nguyen, Manh Ha
Tran, Quoc Bao
Le, Van Huong
Uong, Dinh Khanh
Bui, Thị Mai
Tong, Phuc Tuan
Hoang, Hai
Truong, Quang Hai
Keywords: Delphi technique
Climate change
Aquaculture
Agro-ecological landscape
Agriculture
coastal zone
Issue Date: 2015
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing Ltd.
Citation: Scopus
Abstract: Purpose–This paper aims to facilitate the joint assessment of issues related to the agricultural systems, i.e. agriculture, aquaculture and climate change (CC) response strategies, in the coastal districts with a panel of stakeholders; and to evaluate the level of agreement on the topics under consideration and potentially identify the most promising approaches to assessing CC affecting agricultural systems in the area and identify relevant and adequate response strategies. Design/methodology/approach–Stakeholder Delphi technique–its assessment is an interactive method of qualitative research used to facilitate the interactive participation of varied and conceivably hierarchical and antagonistic stakeholder groups. Findings–The most important result for the province is that the impact of climate change on agro-ecological landscapes (poverty and near river areas) is the duration of cold weather, more frequent and extreme. Moreover, Kendall’sWtest gave a score of 0.547, which indicates a “strong” stakeholder agreement and the “confidence in ranks” being “high” in Thai Binh (Vietnam). Originality/value–The scientific results in this study are intended to serve as relevant knowledge-inputs and direct contributions to capacity-building for the local partners (stakeholders and local authorities). These local partners are engaged in policy-making and effective planning and implementation of climate response measures in the districts in the province of Thai Binh.
Description: International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, Volume 7, Issue 2, 18 May 2015, Pages 222-239
URI: http://www.emeraldinsight.com/doi/abs/10.1108/IJCCSM-07-2013-0093
http://repository.vnu.edu.vn/handle/VNU_123/34049
ISSN: 17568692
Appears in Collections:Bài báo của ĐHQGHN trong Scopus

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